H17 2017-09-21 Captain Choice

It's that time of the week again, where we make the single most important choice of our Fantasy Premier League Gameweeks. I look into and analyze my top 3 captain picks for this weekend.

1. Sergio Aguero (vs Crystal Palace Home)
If you're one of the 532,797 managers who have brought Aguero in since his virtuoso performance against Watford, there is little reason to look elsewhere for your captain. The Fantasy legend is finally back in our thoughts. With 41 points so far, he is the top scorer amongst all players. With 5 goals, he is joint top of the goal scoring charts. This Gameweek, he looks primed to add more to both.

Although there are questions about Aguero's viability as a long term Fantasy prospect, it seems like there shouldn't be many qualms for this game. The problem with his security of starts is well known, but he should be good to start for at least this week. The Argentine did not feature in Man City's midweek clash against West Brom at the Hawthorns. His opposition for the striker role, Gabriel Jesus, played all 90. It seems Jesus could be the one to get reduced minutes again on Saturday.

There are no questions about his form. With 4 goals in the last 2, he's in great goal scoring form. Not only that, his playmaking form is very good too. No other striker has more than his 2 assists so far. His 12 chances created also rank the highest in that regard.

Man City are absolutely blowing teams apart. 5-0 against Liverpool, 4-0 against Feyenoord, 6-0 against Watford, all in the past one and a half week. With the run Crystal Palace are on right now, there could be a cricket score at the Etihad Stadium Saturday afternoon. They're bottom of the table, with no points in 5 games, having scored no goals and conceded 8. The Eagles have already sacked a new manager 4 games in his stint, which shows how much of an unrest their club is in. Their defense has been extremely porous too, with Wayne Hennessey having had to make 21 saves to keep it down to 8 goals conceded. Only Bournemouth and Swansea's keepers have had more on their plate.

Sergio Aguero. Home game. Bottom of the table side. Two seasons ago, it would be a no-brainer. If you have brought him in this week, it still is.

2. Harry Kane (vs West Ham away)
Some of you may be sick of his sight after his antics already, but for the Aguero-less, he's still perhaps the safest option. Kane may already have scored 2 goals, but the truth is, he should have many, many more. He was again unlucky this weekend, hitting the bar and exacting a stunning save from Lukasz Fabianski. 32 shots. 23 in the box. Yet, 2 goals. These numbers don't add up, and sooner or later, they will. Sooner or later, the bad luck will subside, and Kane will get back to the scoring touch that earned him 29 goals last season.

Even though the goals scored may not show it, Spurs are still the attacking force they were last season. They average 21 shots per game, 1.6 more than the next best. Even though the talk of a Wembley curse is rife, they're not playing at the Wembley this week. Spurs' away form is embodied by the fact that they have scored 18, yes, 18 goals in their last 4 away Premier League games. Kane has 9 goals in those 4 games.
One thing Kane loves is a London derby. With 19 goals in 27 London derbies, his goals per game ratio in them is only bettered by Thierry Henry. He also loves West Ham, with the Hammers being his second favorite opponents, after Arsenal.

The Englishman has 5 goals in 7 games against his opponents on Saturday. West Ham may have papered over their cracks with clean sheets against Huddersfield and West Brom last 2 games. But the cracks still exist, and they were throughly exploited by Man Utd, who hit them for 4, and Southampton and Newcastle, who scored 3 each. No team has conceded more goals than them so far this season.
You know he's going to come off big one of these days.

3. Alexis Sanchez (vs West Brom home) - Differential Punt
In #3 is a surprise pick, in Alexis Sanchez. Last season's top points scorer in FPL may have been an afterthought in our considerations so far, but it's time we accept him back in. After all, Sanchez is staying at the Emirates. He's a thorough professional, and he'll give his best every minute he plays, despite questions over his commitment to the club. He may only have started one game in the Premier League so far, due to what his manager calls fitness issues, but the fitness issues are now fine. The Chilean forward does indeed have one goal and one assist in his two starts in other competitions so far, including an absolute stunner against Cologne in the Premier League. With Danny Welbeck out till the second international break, he'll be back in the starting lineup.

Like they always do, Arsenal have come out strongly after being backed into a corner. After it was thought they were in turmoil after a 4-0 defeat against Liverpool, they've hit back like wounded tigers. They coolly dispatched Bournemouth 3-0 and then surprised everyone with a calm performance against Chelsea, and were perhaps unlucky not to take all 3 points home from Stamford Bridge. Back at the Emirates, where they've scored 7 goals in their 2 games so far, they should continue their resilience.

Their opponents, West Brom, are known for their defensive solidity, but it's only at their fortress Hawthorns. Away from home, they struggle, as Brighton exposed a couple of weeks back, putting 3 past them. They have conceded 20 goals in their past 9 away games, conceding less than 2 only twice. This season, they have conceded 16 shots per game away from home, a marked rise from the 11.3 at home.

He's a gamble, for sure. But his quality is undeniable, and he's only in 2.4% of all teams. He has shown flashes of it already, in the limited amount of time he has got this season. With BHA (H), WAT (A), EVE (A), SWA (H), he is also a good pick for the next medium term. If the gamble pays off, you could be laughing all the way to the points bank.

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